Happy new year 2025…

  • adarza@lemmy.ca
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    3 days ago

    canada as a state and voting left, all else the same wrt u.s. presidential election process…

    canada would have two senators, increasing the senate to 102 members. and in a reapportioned house, receive 44 seats, ‘taking’ 5 from california; 4 from tx; 3 from fl; 2 ea from il, ny, nc, pa; 1 ea from al, az, co, ct, ga, in, ks, ky, md, ma, mi, mn, mo, mt, ne, nj, oh, or, ri, sc, tn, va, wa, wi.

    using 2024 state results (note: figuring ne and me would basically cancel each other out anyway and to keep my 2-minute spreadsheet simple, i just left those two states all-or-nothing), and assuming the great commonwealth of canada, now a u.s. state, would vote left…

    looks like it woulda been 287 for r, 253 for d; with 271 needed to win.

    just adding a state doesn’t change how electoral college votes are distributed, it’s still heavily skewed in favor of low-pop states because states get equal representation in the senate regardless of population. remember each member of congress… that’s house + senate… gives their state one ec vote. that’s why the hypothetical here doesn’t change the overall outcome.

    if each province became a state instead… things might get ‘interesting’, then.

    • DicJacobus@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      90% of the coutnry would be reorganized into “territories” with no representation, be given the Nestle/American Fruit Company treatment, turned into resource extraction zones ruled by Quisling Governors, and a few select urban areas might be granted something akin to early statehood, but it wouldnt get full rights for decades, after the population has been sufficiently assimilated and dissidents are killed.

      , they can dress it up any way they want, but any scenario where two countries join and there is signifigant opposition and discontent within the population. it always ends up with death camps. See Russia’s “Filtration camps” in Ukraine.

      Make no mistake, America taking over Canada in any way, is something to kill over. because they’re certainly gonna kill you or someone you love.

      • adarza@lemmy.ca
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        2 days ago

        oh, i didn’t…

        the territories are so small a population, taking them out (to be ‘left out’ like dc or puerto rico, or other u.s. territory–any of which is larger than any canadian territory by population) wouldn’t have changed anything.

        but as states, they’d be, by far, the ‘best represented’ populations in congress and the electoral college. even nl and pei would be ‘over represented’ compared to wyoming (the lowest-pop state).