As a guy who thought about buying bonds recently and decided to go to gold instead, my thinking was that Trump and/or Elon could definitely make some attempt to steal/divert treasury bonds, hold bonds hostage for some change he wants, or some other fuckery. The US can’t go bankrupt - so long as you can trust the leaders to do the most basic rational things. But you can’t trust them to do that right now.

Well to be fair, the social security administration denied the report.

In a post on X.

There was definitely a rumor that caused a market spike two days ago until the white house immediately called it “fake news” which the media took at Trump’s word as they always so gullibly do. Well as it turns, out, this “fake news” got the duration of the pause right to the exact number of days.

Now everyone seems to be pretending they don’t remember that this happened just two days ago and I just don’t get it. Shouldn’t somebody be asking why some random people on Twitter seemed to know Trump’s plans in advance?

People misinterpret this image. Newsom isn’t point at Trump, he’s keeping the stack of people from falling over.

As bad as this is, it can still get a lot worse. The market seems to be pricing in a high probability that Trump will reverse course. If the tariffs stay on for at least a few months, there will certainly be a recession, probably a depression, and possibly social unrest that will take decades to fully recover from.

He’s been missing for two weeks but someone created a github for an academic homepage for him a few days ago and updated a branch on it 20 hours ago?’

Unless there’s something I’m missing and multiple XiaoFeng Wangs work for the Luddy School at IU?

I suppose it could also just be a fake account, the whole thing is just weird.

There’s no doubt the 22nd Amendment would disqualify him, the only question is what happens when he’s disqualified? If the Supreme Court goes the same direction the majority went on the Colorado ballot case, they’d say it’s up to Congress to enforce it. Now there’s good reason for assuming they won’t say the same exact thing here, but the same cop-out instinct that the 6 Republicans have had with Trump will still be there. Maybe they’ll just say it’s up to the voters to not elect him again and leave it at that.

If he actually orders an invasion of Greenland I’d put the odds at around 12%. My guess is around 60% the military will refuse to carry out the order (it would be after all in violation of the War Powers Resolution unless congress approves), then 80% chance Trump will back down. Of course that’s if he gives the order, my guess of that is around 30%, reducing the odds of a greenland-related coup to around 4%. In reality the most likely path is that once the military explains to Trump that they want congressional approval, he’ll lose interest and go on to scaring us some other way.

It’s not all him, several other people invested in both. According to some article Elon owns 79% of X, and only 54% of xAI (barely enough to control it). Since the valuation of X in the deal is about $20 billion more what others have estimated ($12.3 billion), it definitely seems like it’s a corrupt bailout 46% funded with other xAI investors’ money, basically netting Elon $8 billion overnight.

That being said, the other investors in xAI are easy marks like Marc Andressen (famous for funding Adam Neumann’s project that came after WeWork) and various Saudi Royals who possibly were convinced that this is ok.

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Meanwhile Rubio is proudly bragging about revoking student visas entirely for pro-Palestinian speech. Marco Rubio is not the voice of reason in the white house, he’s an enemy of the Constitution.

You need four Republicans to impeach. A lot more to convict.

I admit using somewhat ambiguous adjective placement, but I mean “top news” to also modify “social media” - specifically referring to X which despite being a shithole remains a common place for news reporters and influential political figures and entities to post and read news-related information.

Obama doesn’t have a yacht, he visited David Geffen’s yacht and the Maga media had a field day claiming Obama’s got a yacht. And don’t get me wrong, the ideal president would stay far away from all oligarchs and their yachts. But let’s not pretend Obama’s lack of enthusiasm for upending the status quo and Trump/Musk/Thiel’s wholehearted attempt to replace democracy with corporate feudalism are at all comparable.

This is the first part of that. The top news media in cable tv, podcasting, and social media are all run as maga propaganda and I think that’s a massively underrated reason for Trump’s winning. The easiest of these to take down is social media, but it requires all the other news-related celebrities to go somewhere else.

“We’re the party of anti-elites!” “Also we use maid-cleaned bathrooms for document storage, keeping them right under the chandelier.”

I don’t like cops, I’m just opposed to going around separating people into strict good and bad buckets based on snap judgments.

Many theories:

• Trudeau has criticized Trump in the past so it’s just a revenge quest
• Trump wants to be emperor and trying to rule over neighbors is just what emperors do
• Just some delusionial Trump bullshit that demonstrates his mental decline
• (highly speculative) Influence from Elon, whose grandfather wanted to turn Canada into an NRx-style white supremacist corprate-fascist state 80 years ago and failed, hence the move to south africa. Conceivably Elon wants Trump to make him governor of Canada so he can finish the job. Generally I’m not in favor of wild intruguing speculation like this but it’s just too fun/horrifying to pass up.

Having been on several bar trivia teams, I can say that at least 80% of Americans know virtually nothing about history. I could imagine someone with only a vague familiarity with a Nazi salute just assuming there’s no way a fortune 500 CEO would actually do one, not recognizing how spot on of a Hitler impression that was.

Don’t destroy Tesla cars, destroy the brand. Destroying Teslas means there’s fewer Teslas and that makes them more valuable/reduces the flooding of the market caused by people selling their cars. The goal is to annihilate Elon’s purchasing power to stop him from using it to implementing fascist governments around the world.