I disagree; I don’t think there’s any clear cut line at which you go from “normal” to “dystopia”; societies are dystopian by the extent to which they fail to be utopian. Fictional larger than life examples of “dystopia” grab our attention by presenting decades or centuries of changes in the blink of an eye. Often such societies aren’t even more repressive than our current ones; they just are more striking in presentation. And when they ARE more repressive it’s not because someone pushed the dystopia button; it’s from very long recurring events that push the slider to worse and worse positions.

AGI isn’t real and AI is a money pit of garbage.

What a pointless argument. At what point of societal ill do you go from “normal” or whatever to “dystopia”? You don’t. Dystopia is a relative term; in a sense everything is dystopian so long as you can imagine a better world; it’s the negation of utopia. Arguing “how close we are to dystopia” is missing the point; we should be arguing about what makes our society better versus worse, not getting hung up on classification labels.